Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 132.553222 151.243688 172.024371 196.911809 225.998332 259.025380 299.519721
2025-11-16 105.496087 129.602687 158.771632 196.934400 245.941502 307.290533 390.736537
2025-11-23 89.186766 115.435774 149.171801 196.240317 261.055167 348.409265 477.173847
2025-11-30 79.299587 107.048220 144.502023 199.601194 280.040224 395.477056 577.918812
2025-12-07 68.873121 96.148281 134.440194 193.252096 283.342520 419.584965 648.020165
2025-12-14 61.791198 88.879012 128.270412 191.173883 291.862659 451.693489 734.960175
2025-12-21 57.014765 84.303998 125.306071 193.214877 306.533143 494.949058 847.331894
2025-12-28 54.254104 82.382913 126.003372 200.868644 331.024089 557.668832 1005.213200
2026-01-04 51.395607 79.946532 125.514625 206.324428 352.259113 617.623947 1169.362175
2026-01-11 47.490442 75.404776 121.067388 204.361325 359.835151 653.489472 1292.657065
2026-01-18 45.164765 73.220619 120.278924 208.635962 379.285196 714.615236 1480.598364
2026-01-25 42.225519 69.710890 116.835162 207.600514 388.297736 756.195753 1634.174723
2026-02-01 39.658106 66.845391 114.645947 209.462675 405.000063 820.035374 1863.340983
2026-02-08 37.120655 63.825433 111.927640 210.101717 419.657641 883.089002 2110.122066
2026-02-15 34.688923 60.753096 108.769156 209.416560 431.344304 941.694486 2362.277921
2026-02-22 33.032631 58.947482 107.798111 213.043208 453.054615 1028.021927 2715.585403
2026-03-01 30.363772 54.979507 102.219120 206.205125 449.729093 1052.402429 2898.403449
2026-03-08 28.453650 52.308133 98.950693 203.967219 456.907872 1104.959311 3183.293783
2026-03-15 27.163614 50.738479 97.751316 206.165113 475.229049 1190.775592 3603.260485
2026-03-22 26.537406 50.435547 99.129030 214.409408 510.157704 1330.103610 4255.485052
2026-03-29 25.730344 49.688435 99.483541 220.288187 539.980459 1461.886082 4934.239698
2026-04-05 24.321792 47.572556 96.674810 218.172688 547.915666 1529.974899 5398.996340
2026-04-12 23.546350 46.729829 96.588571 222.779441 575.368828 1665.583746 6193.929377